Immigration boosts innovation and wages in the US. The positive dynamic impact of immigration on innovation and wages dominates the short-run negative impact of increased labor supply. Increased immigration to the US since 1965 is estimated to have increased innovation and wages by 5%.

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They recommend selling 10-year bonds following a 17 basis point decline in yields since the start of the year, their best performance over the period since 2020. Bunds are now the most expensive they’ve been relative to short-dated interest rates swaps since March 2025, according to Barclays’ analysis.

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